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Recent Signals

Composite 42Trend 20

Prediction Market Traders Brace for Surprise Fed Rate Hike

Prediction market traders have pushed the odds of a July Fed rate hike to 27% on both Polymarket and Myriad, rising double digits in the last 24 hours.

Composite 51Trend 10

OpenAI’s GPT-6 Will Arrive by September, Markets Predict

Money is moving on a September bet for OpenAI’s next major model on both Polymarket and Myriad prediction markets.

Composite 54Trend 10

Elon Musk: Humans Will Lose Control of AI Within a Decade

The SpaceX founder says artificial intelligence is advancing too quickly to stop and is urging leading AI companies to coordinate on safety before releasing their most powerful models.

Composite 50Trend 10

SparkKitty Malware Found in App Stores Targets Crypto Wallet Seed Phrases

A newly detailed report says SparkKitty malware scanned photos on infected iPhones and Android devices for cryptocurrency wallet recovery phrases after infiltrating Apple's App Store and Google Play.

Composite 54Trend 10

Searchable NYC Property Database Puts Wealthy Residents at Risk, Critics Warn

A searchable database built from New York City's public property assessment records has drawn backlash from critics who say it creates privacy and security risks.

Composite 32Trend 10

Bitcoin ETFs Shed $465M Over Two Days, Led by BlackRock's IBIT

The selling reversed a seven-day, $1 billion inflow streak, with analysts blaming renewed U.S.-Iran tensions and Fed rate-hike fears.

Composite 51Trend 10

Your Shared Claude Chats Were Being Quietly Published on Google

A missing line of code meant "share with a link" and "searchable by anyone" were the same thing—and someone already saved 11,241 of those messages to GitHub.

Composite 54Trend 10

Microsoft Says MDASH Beats Claude Mythos and GPT-5.6 Sol in Cybersecurity Test

Microsoft says its new cyber model lets more than 100 AI agents find software flaws at half the cost of its current best MDASH configuration.

Composite 58Trend 10

Fanatics Buys CFTC-Registered Exchange in Prediction Markets Land Grab

The deal for BGC's Water Street Labs and CX Clearinghouse lets Fanatics list and settle its own event contracts, echoing DraftKings and FanDuel as sports-betting giants scramble for a foothold in the sector.

Composite 58Trend 10

A Man Gave Border Agents His Phone Passcode. It Wiped Everything. Now He's Facing Federal Charges

Samuel Tunick allegedly triggered a GrapheneOS duress password during a warrantless airport search. Federal prosecutors call it destruction of property. His lawyers call it a digital right.

Composite 59Trend 10

Nvidia, Microsoft and IBM Launch Open Secure AI Alliance to Strengthen AI Cybersecurity

More than 40 technology companies and organizations have allied to develop open-source AI security tools and standards for cyber defense.

Composite 57Trend 10

Circle Buys IBM Blockchain Patent Estate—And Becomes America's Biggest Holder

The USDC issuer acquired nearly 1,000 patents from IBM in a single deal, but IBM is still backing USDC's most dangerous rival.

Composite 58Trend 10

Bitmine Nears Goal of Controlling 5% of Ethereum Supply With $11.8 Billion Treasury

The company says it now holds 5.79 million ETH, equal to 4.8% of the cryptocurrency's circulating supply, while expanding its staking operations and share buyback program.

Composite 49Trend 10

Morning Minute: Tokenized Stocks Jump 5x on Robinhood Chain

Plus markets are green after oil fell 8%; ETH is greatly outpacing BTC in ETF inflows; and another major crypto exchange has shut down

Composite 51Trend 10

Crypto Firms Pivoting to AI Is 'Zero-Sum' Thinking: Coinbase CEO

Brian Armstrong says crypto is infrastructure that underpins AI, and that AI agents will need it to transact on their own.

Composite 54Trend 10

Strategy Adds $525M to Cash Reserve, Skips Bitcoin Buy for Fifth Week

The Bitcoin treasury firm also tapped its $1 billion preferred buyback for the first time, spending $25 million on STRC.

Composite 55Trend 10

Thailand's SEC Files Criminal Complaint Against Bitkub Over Undisclosed $47M Hack

The regulator says the exchange and two former directors left a $47 million theft out of its filings in 2021.

Composite 59Trend 10

BitMart Becomes Latest Crypto Exchange to Shut Down

BitMart’s closure, citing the market environment and “future strategic direction,” comes days after crypto perps exchange BitMEX shut down.

Composite 49Trend 10

Mira Murati’s Inkling AI Model Review: Best Open-Source Model in the West

After two years of silence from Thinking Machines Lab, Murati's debut model is out and on OpenRouter. The MCP score is genuinely impressive. The price-to-performance math is more complicated.

Composite 49Trend 10

What Is an AI Kill Switch and Why Do US Lawmakers Want One?

The AI Kill Switch Act would let Homeland Security order frontier AI throttled or shut down, with fines up to $20 million a day for defying it.

Composite 49Trend 10

Stocks Just Topped Crypto on Hyperliquid. ARK Says That Changes Everything

For the first time, real-world assets—stocks, commodities, and market indices—outpaced crypto on the world's biggest decentralized derivatives exchange.

Composite 51Trend 10

Claude Opus 5 Outscores Fable 5 on Most Benchmarks—At Half the Price

Anthropic's new everyday model undercuts its own frontier product on cost and beats it almost everywhere that counts.

Composite 56Trend 10

Samsung Wallet Will Add Stablecoin Support, Including USDC

Samsung showed a wallet mockup holding Circle's USDC at Galaxy Unpacked. But details are scarce.

Composite 51Trend 10

Bitcoin ETFs Shed $225M, Snapping Seven-Day Inflow Streak as Iran Tensions Spook Markets

BlackRock's IBIT led the exit as Bitcoin briefly dipped under $65,000 and stocks fell on renewed US-Iran hostilities—though the week still closed in the green.

Composite 51Trend 10

Strategy Overhauls Bitcoin Metrics, Debuting 'Net Bitcoin Per Share'

The firm says its "digital credit" shift needs new yardsticks that strip out debt and preferred claims to show what common shareholders own.

Composite 52Trend 10

Nvidia, Meta, and Microsoft Tell Washington: Don't Kill Open-Source AI

Twenty-five companies signed a letter defending open-weight models days after a Chinese AI helped Hugging Face survive a hack triggered by OpenAI's own systems.

Composite 62Trend 20

Poolin, Once One of Bitcoin's Biggest Mining Pools, Files for Bankruptcy

The Singapore-based pool never recovered from freezing withdrawals in 2022. Now it's auctioning off its last Texas mining sites to pay back 11,700 users still holding IOUs.

Composite 59Trend 10

Clarity Act on the Ropes as Ethics Fight and Shrinking Calendar Threaten Passage

Senate Majority Leader John Thune signals the crypto market-structure bill likely won't clear the chamber before the August recess, as Democrats reject the GOP's ethics language and analysts slash the odds of passage.

Composite 51Trend 10

EU Names Justin Sun's HTX in Russia Sanctions, Two Months After UK

The 21st package stops short of a full asset freeze for HTX, which it accused of "significantly frustrating" its Russia measures.

Composite 54Trend 10

World Foundation Raises $52.5M to Scale Sam Altman’s ‘Proof of Human’ ID

Pantera Capital led the one-year locked token sale, joined by Bain Capital Crypto, as World scales its ID network for AI agents.

Composite 51Trend 10

India Orders GitHub to Take Down Jack Dorsey's Bitchat Amid Protests

The order gave GitHub three hours to pull three code repositories, citing the messaging app's use during protest internet shutdowns.

Composite 51Trend 10

Morning Minute: Bitcoin's New $15M Quantum Defense Fund

Plus, the Clarity Act is no longer expected to progress before the August recess. And Vlad Tenev's X was hacked to post a meme coin...

Composite 58Trend 10

Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FT

The "GCottrell93" account bet the funds on Trump's election win and cashed out the profit, though who paid in and who collected is unclear.

Composite 49Trend 10

Black Forest Labs Unveils FLUX 3 AI: Ditches Stills for Video—And Robot Hands

FLUX 3 is the German AI lab’s first video model, and the same system is already teaching robots to work an Audi assembly line.

Composite 50Trend 10

Nasdaq-Listed Zhibao Wants a Bitcoin Treasury, Plans to Sell $220M in Stock for BTC

A Shanghai-based insurance-tech company trading below $1 wants to build a bitcoin treasury by taking BTC directly as payment for new shares.

Composite 53Trend 10

Goldman Sachs CEO Breaks With Wall Street to Back Crypto Clarity Act

Solomon's endorsement splits with JP Morgan's Jamie Dimon and banking trade groups, who warn the bill's stablecoin-yield provisions could pull deposits away from traditional lenders.

Composite 53Trend 10

Bitcoin May Have Already Bottomed—If the Fed Helps, Says Grayscale

The crypto asset manager thinks the four-year cycle is dead, suggesting Bitcoin's price will follow macro forces and the Fed's next move.

Composite 56Trend 10

Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev's X Account Hacked to Shill Fake 'Vladhood' Token

The deleted post touted a bogus "Vladhood" token as the mascot of Robinhood Chain—the latest fraud to exploit a network currently dominated by memes.

Composite 57Trend 10

Brazilian Farmers Are Tokenizing Cows to Get Farm Loans—And It's Working

The first tokenized livestock deal on Brazil's stock exchange offers dairy farmers a lifeline as the sector's credit crisis deepens.

Composite 55Trend 10

BlackRock, Coinbase and Strategy Pledge $15M to Quantum-Proof Bitcoin

Nine of the biggest institutional names in Bitcoin formed a consortium to fund the developers working to keep the network secure—including from future quantum computers.